BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Pocahontas Area

Class: 2A Class Rank: 77 Conference: (11-3) Overall: (15-9) Overall Strength =   52.43

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2004 Away    L    60.79  43   54   2A   19 (16-10) Emmetsburg              8.36    -19.36                      
  2 11/30/2004 Home    W    46.72  76   62   2A  125 ( 0-22) Eagle Grove            -5.71     19.71                      
  3 12/03/2004 Away    W *  66.63  76   57   1A   71 (10-13) Laurens-Marathon       14.20      4.80                      
  4 12/07/2004 Home    W *  47.49  78   68   1A  103 ( 4-18) Southern Cal           -4.95     14.95                      
  5 12/10/2004 Away    W *  56.82  59   57   1A   36 (11-11) Wall Lake WLVA          4.39     -2.39                      
  6 12/14/2004 Home    L *  27.29  59   79   2A   90 (10-12) Prairie Valley        -25.14      5.14                      
  7 12/17/2004 Away    W *  60.39  84   74   2A   93 ( 7-15) Northwest Webster       7.95      2.05                      
  8 01/07/2005 Away    W *  58.97  92   71   2A  117 ( 5-17) Southeast Webster       6.53     14.47                      
  9 01/08/2005 Home    W    68.54  64   58   1A   12 (19- 4) Newell-Fonda           16.11    -10.11                      
 10 01/14/2005 Home    L *  39.31  44   60   1A   22 (22- 4) Rockwell City-Lytton  -13.13     -2.87                      
 11 01/18/2005 Home    W *  50.29  78   72   1A   71 (10-13) Laurens-Marathon       -2.14      8.14                      
 12 01/21/2005 Away    W *  47.83  72   65   1A  103 ( 4-18) Southern Cal           -4.61     11.61                      
 13 01/25/2005 Home    W *  68.48  63   46   1A   36 (11-11) Wall Lake WLVA         16.05      0.95                      
 14 01/28/2005 Away    W *  58.63  84   76   2A   90 (10-12) Prairie Valley          6.20      1.80                      
 15 01/29/2005 Home    L    46.62  55   61   1A   33 (11-12) Pomeroy-Palmer         -5.81     -0.19                      
 16 02/03/2005 Away    L    57.50  61   70   2A   32 (13- 9) Algona Garrigan         5.07    -14.07  was 01/11/05 now 02/03/05
 17 02/04/2005 Home    W *  51.05  81   77   2A   93 ( 7-15) Northwest Webster      -1.39      5.39                      
 18 02/08/2005 Home    W *  61.62  70   43   2A  117 ( 5-17) Southeast Webster       9.19     17.81                      
 19 02/10/2005 Home    L    36.45  43   75   2A   19 (16-10) Emmetsburg            -15.98    -16.02                      
 20 02/11/2005 Away    L *  41.65  45   62   1A   22 (22- 4) Rockwell City-Lytton  -10.79     -6.21                      
 21 02/15/2005 Home    L    57.57  46   61   3A   11 (12-10) Storm Lake              5.13    -20.13                      
 22 02/21/2005 Neutral W    46.39  55   43   2A  125 ( 0-22) Eagle Grove            -6.04     18.04                      
 23 02/23/2005 Neutral W    48.26  80   78   2A   98 ( 6-17) Clarion-Goldfield      -4.17      6.17                      
 24 03/01/2005 Neutral L    53.12  51   68   2A   19 (16-10) Emmetsburg              0.69    -17.69                      
      Averages              52.43  65.0 64.0

Best game:   68.54 = 6 point win over Newell-Fonda
Worst game:  27.29 = 20 point loss to Gowrie Prairie Valley
Team stdev:  10.30